Chances of Winning the 2025 Oscars Calculated Using a Special Formula

The results may surprise many.

Yesterday, the nominees for the "Oscar-2025" were announced, and now many are trying to predict the winners in various categories. Yahoo Entertainment has developed a formula that determines the candidates with the highest chances of success based on various data.

The system analyzes nominations for other awards, predictions, critics' opinions, and overall buzz. Based on the results, journalists evaluate the films, assigning them appropriate scores. You can learn more about the methodology here.

The formula was tested on nominees in the "Best Picture" category. It showed that currently, the musical "Emilia Perez" has the highest chances of winning. In second place is "Anora," and in third is "Evil."

The bookmakers' favorite, "Brutalist," only secured fourth place. The outsiders include "Dune-2," "Substance," "The Boys from Nickel," and "I'm Still Here."

By the time the winners are announced, the leader may change multiple times, as the table will be updated weekly with new data. In any case, the results should not be taken too seriously; anyone among the contenders could actually win.