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Daily Hot TopicsIn its latest report, international ratings agency Fitch downgraded the outlook for approximately a quarter of US industries to "deteriorate" for the year, predicting a slowdown in US GDP growth this year. Meanwhile, the market is optimistic about a quick agreement between the US and the EU, with the VIX index hitting a new five-month low. Gold prices have fallen for two consecutive days, despite Alphabet's strong earnings report. However, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, the August 1 tariff deadline, and a series of important data releases coming next week, investors should be wary of the possibility of a "buy the anticipation, sell the facts" market.Gold: Forming a Triple Top, Beware of an Imminent DeclineOn Thursday (July 24), gold fell 0.59%, hitting a low of $3,351 and breaking through $3,360 again. It's worth noting that since late April, gold has failed to reach the $3,450-3,500 resistance level three times, forming a potential triple top pattern. If gold successfully breaks through $3,360, be wary of the start of a new downturn.If gold fails to reclaim $3,400 and breaks through $3,360 in the short term, it could see further downside, with $3,300 or even $3,250 in focus. However, if the closing price breaks through the recent high of $3,440, there's still a chance that the price could rebound and challenge the all-time high of $3,500.

BTC successfully broke through $120,000 and will open the way to $135,000-$140,000.On July 14, Bitcoin (BTC) broke through $120,000, setting a new record high.Record institutional capital inflows, the arrival of US Crypto Week, and rumors of the resignation of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell have driven Bitcoin to continue to rise.Since the beginning of 2025, the price of Bitcoin has risen by 29%, surpassing the 26% increase in the price of gold.Analysts generally believe that if Bitcoin can clearly break through $119,000-120,000 and reopen trading volume, it may mark the next stage of this bull market cycle and set the tone for the third quarter of 2025."BTC will open the road to $135,000-$140,000." Niels, co-founder of Ted Labs, said.Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan believes that continued institutional demand and limited supply will drive Bitcoin to $200,000 by the end of the year. Standard Chartered Bank also predicts that Bitcoin will reach $200,000 in the fourth quarter, driven by exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows and policy catalysts.

Driven by dual attributes, Bitcoin hits a new record highOn Wednesday (July 9), Bitcoin rose 2.15% to an intraday high of $112,040, hitting a record high again since May 22, and is expected to record three consecutive weeks of gains. Ethereum rose nearly 6% to $2,797, just one step away from the four-month high of $2,880 set on June 11.It is worth noting that Bitcoin has risen by more than 50% since April 7, and the strong rise is mainly due to its dual attributes. On the one hand, in the context of de-dollarization, Bitcoin is used as a substitute for the US dollar similar to gold, and is favored by medium- and long-term funds. On the other hand, Bitcoin has similar attributes to technology stocks. When trade tariffs tend to ease, market risk appetite boosts Bitcoin's rise.There is no doubt that Bitcoin's current fundamentals are based on a medium- and long-term bearish US dollar, and in the short term driven by the rise of US technology stocks. Such dual attributes mean that unless there is a systemic risk in the market, Bitcoin is likely to continue its rise.The trade situation tends to ease, and the market Risk On is expected to continueIt is worth noting that the current US technology stocks are rising sharply, among which Nvidia closed up 1.8% overnight, setting a new record high. Since April 7, the cumulative increase has been nearly 90%, and the total market value has briefly exceeded 4 trillion US dollars, becoming the first company in the world to reach this milestone.

TradingKey - The United States is about to usher in "Crypto Week", and the House of Representatives may pass the GENIUS Act.On Thursday local time, senior officials of the U.S. House of Representatives announced that the week of July 14 will be designated as "Crypto Week", when the GENIUS Act will be reviewed. Once passed, it will be handed over to US President Trump for a final decision. Previously, Trump had urged that the bill be delivered to him before August for signing.The GENIUS Act is a bill on stablecoins, and clear regulations have been made for the issuance, circulation, withdrawal, investor protection, etc. of US dollar stablecoins. The GENIUS Act not only helps to strengthen the hegemony of the US dollar, but also benefits stablecoin concept stocks. Among them, Circle (CRCL) is a typical representative, and its stock price has continued to soar after its listing in June.Although the House of Representatives has also proposed its own stablecoin bill, the STABLE Act, Trump and White House bureaucrats hope that the GENIUS Act will be approved. Among them, Bo Hines, the White House digital asset policy adviser, once said, "I hope to see the GENIUS Stablecoin Act finally passed." Once passed, the stablecoin market will benefit directly, and the corresponding concept stocks may be sought after by the market again.

As warehouse robots expand into the consumer robot market, robot safety, financing, and evaluation mechanisms are worth exploring.Cryptography will drive the development of the robotics industry by providing economic guarantees for robot safety and optimizing its docking infrastructure, latency, and data collection processes.ChatGPT completely rewrites human expectations of artificial intelligence. When large language models began to interact with the external software world, many people thought that AI agents were the ultimate form. But if you look back at classic science fiction movies such as "Star Wars", "Blade Runner" or "RoboCop", you will find that what humans really dream of is that artificial intelligence can interact with the physical world in the form of robots.In Pantera Capital's view, the "ChatGPT moment" in the field of robotics is coming. We will first analyze how breakthroughs in artificial intelligence have changed the industry landscape in the past few years, and then explore how battery technology, latency optimization, and data collection improvements will shape the future landscape, and the role of cryptography in it. Finally, we will explain why we believe that robot safety, financing, evaluation, and education are vertical areas that need to be focused on.1. Change Factors(1) Artificial Intelligence BreakthroughAdvances in the field of multimodal large language models are giving robots the "brains" they need to perform complex tasks. Robots perceive the environment primarily through vision and hearing.Traditional computer vision models (such as convolutional neural networks) are good at object detection or classification tasks, but have difficulty converting visual information into purposeful action instructions. Large language models are excellent in text understanding and generation, but are limited by their ability to perceive the physical world.

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