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Логотип телеграм спільноти - Українські студії стратегічних досліджень
Додано 07 січ 2022

Українські студії стратегічних досліджень

@nacussd
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Недержавний аналітичний центр "Українські студії стратегічних досліджень"
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Українські студії стратегічних досліджень | Monitoring of regional processes in the RF: autumn 2025Non-Governmenta...

Логотип телеграм спільноти - Українські студії стратегічних досліджень Українські студії стратегічних досліджень @nacussd
68 Охват/переглядів 2025-12-23 18:57 Повідомлення №2311
🔥Monitoring of regional processes in the RF: autumn 2025Non-Governmental Analytical Center “Ukrainian Studies of Strategic Disquisitions” continues the long-term project of Monitoring regional processes in the RF👉The goal of the research is the fixation and determination of the dynamics of conflict-generating and disintegration factors that will contribute to the deconstruction of the Russian Federation and its disappearance as a geopolitical reality.📌The object of monitoring is the information field of the Russian Federation; the most popular news for the quarter in various regions of Russia are analyzed, which will give a more or less clear idea of the internal processes occurring on the territory of the aggressor state and will allow for the monitoring of conflict-generating regional processes.❗️Monitoring of regional processes in the RF: autumn 2025In the autumn period, tendencies aimed at the development of crisis elements recorded in previous monitoring periods are observed in Russian regions – oppression of the opposition, aggressive actions of the authorities against their opponents and the suppression of any alternative, problems in the housing and utilities sector, and in the economy in general. During this period, a fuel crisis was added, and the intensity of Ukrainian UAV strikes deep into the regions of the RF increased.🔴CONCLUSIONS📌The increase in the intensity of strikes by Ukrainian UAVs deep into the territory of the RF, especially on fuel infrastructure objects, led to the war “moving from the TV to the pockets and often homes” of the Russians themselves.📌The deterioration of the economic situation in Russia, caused, in particular, by damage to the infrastructure of its oil industry, leads to a strengthening of protest moods, which destabilizes the situation especially in depressed regions already now. In response, the authorities are strengthening the flywheel of repressions, which allows keeping the state of affairs under control for now.📌A separate aspect of the deterioration of the economic position of the aggressive federation is the difficulty of payments to so-called “SVO participants,” that is, occupiers who go for money to kill Ukrainians on our own land. In the long term, this may become a factor in both the difficulty of recruiting new mercenaries and problems with those who have already returned from the predatory war and encountered the realities of life in their country. Also relevant in the regions of Russia remain problems with housing and communal services (ZhKH), ecology, and human rights. Each of these factors has the potential for development, and under favorable circumstances, may flare up in the form of a civil conflict or spontaneous uprising.👉Authors: Yuriy Oliynyk, Ivan Yaniuk, Mykola Volhov, Oleksiy Tkachenko, Andrii Kovaliov, Andrii Mykhailichenko, Armais Ohanyan, Yulia Dolia, Iryna Yevdochenko, Ivan Hatsenko👉Translator: Oleksandr Chupakhttps://ussd.org.ua/2025/12/23/monitoring-of-regional-processes-in-the-rf-autumn-2025/Українські студії стратегічних досліджень Юрій Олійник Yuriy Syrotyuk